Glasgow East lies, Round 1!

July 10, 2008

Everyone in Scotland knows the newspapers are anti-SNP so its no surprise when the likes of the Daily Record and The Scotsman declare Margaret Curran’s Labour campaign launch in Glasgow East to be the best thing since sliced bread and one in the eye for the SNP!

‘Round 1 to Labour’ the Scotsman headline screamed as she launched her campaign.

I have commented before that there is no newspaper in Scotland that is pro-SNP. Its remarkable that the SNP, the most popular government Scotland has ever had, has no mainstream newspaper sympathetic to its policies! It just shows that the newspapers, editors and journalists are struggling to keep up with the Scottish public’s endearment to the SNP.

They are gradually getting the message though. One only has to look at their online comment pages to see that the public aren’t buying their propaganda any more. Their falling sales are a testament to that too – money talks, and eventually they must change their stance! There simply isn’t room in the market for all these Unionist newspapers.

I have already commented on the despondency of Labour’s Glasgow East campaign launch.

Now, as the actual launches of Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the SSP are posted on STV’s site, we can see what really happened, and see through the newspapers anti-SNP spin.

The video is posted here.

Straight from the start, Margaret Curran says she has lived in Glasgow’s East End for all her life.

That is a blatant lie.

She has a £350 000 house in a middle class area of Cathcart, in Glasgow’s South Side. She has stayed there for many years.

Perhaps the SNP should run tours from Glasgow East to her home just to point out the difference in living standards between the MSP and the constituents she wants to represent! And then ask them if they want to give her another job, expenses and a John Lewis list!

Maybe Margaret Curran should also go on the tour.

Its obvious that she has no idea where her home really is! Perhaps she should ask to be checked out by a doctor for signs of dementia.

The other Curran hoping to be elected is Frances Curran, also seen in the STV clip. She does not want to be confused as the Labour hopeful. I have already commented on the fact that she fears she could lose votes over their similar names.

But she has hinted at the Glasgow East constituents’ attitude towards the Labour MSP. “People have already had a go at me in the street because they think I’m Margaret Curran.” she said.

That just shows how much support Labour has lost when a candidate with a similar name to the local Labour MSP is harassed by constituents by mistake.

‘Round 1 to Labour’ indeed! What a disgraceful press!

Labour are already down and out, seconds after the bell has rung.

Glasgow East – SNP landslide!!

July 8, 2008

It seems that James Purnell, the Works and Pensions Minister, has been defending Labour’s dreadful record in Glasgow East; a constituency that has infamously one of the lowest male life expectancy rates in the Western world. All of this on a Labour MP watch that’s lasted decades.

A Conservative MP, David Gauke, said that the Labour Government’s record of trying to get people back to work had failed certain areas – and said Labour has “Let down the people of Glasgow East”.

It really comes to something when the Conservatives can so easily attack the Government on their policies to tackle poverty.

It really shows just how far to the right the New Labour Party are.

James Purnell is about to publish a Green Paper, designed to get people back to work whether sick, disabled, lone parents or drug addicts – and of course the unemployed will be targeted in a new ‘work for dole’ policy.

Will such a move be popular in Glasgow East? Will it help save the Labour vote where 50% of people of working age are out of work for one reason or another? Where 63% of children are in families on benefits? How will those people react to Purnell’s Green Paper? Will they just see it as a measure to help them or a threat to their benefits?

Meanwhile, Labour has formally declared Margaret Curran as their candidate. Frances Curran has just been on Newsnight Scotland saying their similar names may lose the SSP valuable votes! So at least that may give the Labour Party some more votes. That’s the best news the Labour Party has had in their disastrous campaign!

The Green Party has also announced their candidate as Dr Eileen Duke, a retired GP and co-convenor of Glasgow and the West of Scotland. Its not a seat where the Greens are expected to do well in.

Back on Newsnight Scotland, Tommy Sheridan said that he wanted the SNP to win and admitted all the other parties were fighting for third place.

With honesty like that its incredible he has been accused of perjury!

Alex Salmond predicted a ‘political earthquake’ result in Glasgow East earlier.

As I mentioned before Labour has fewer than 200 members in the constituency; a ridiculously low number given its one of Labour’s safest seats in the UK. One Glasgow East card-carrying member of the Labour Party interviewed on Newsnight – he even showed his card on screen – said that there was no way he would vote Labour after the disappointment of the Blair and Brown Governments. If he is typical of the local members then Labour has a huge fight on its hands! The morale amongst the party must be rock bottom.

Channel 4 has revealed that out of around the 200 members only about 3 dozen are active in the Constituency Association. That’s only 36 Labour members – at most! – willing to chap doors, leaflet the public and defend their policies to the Glasgow East public. No wonder Scottish Labour has demanded that all its MPs and MSPs help out – they’ve hardly any activists in the constituency!

Virtually no activists! Virtually no money! Virtually no hope!

The SNP may only predict an earthquake.

A landslide is more likely!!!

Glasgow East swings

July 4, 2008

I see that William Hill has changed their prices to bring them in line with the other bookmakers:-

SNP — 8/11
Labour — evens
Conservatives — 25/1
Liberal Democrats — 33/1

So now the only bookie that was backing Labour to win, now thinks the SNP will win.

The Liberal Democrats have named their candidate as Ian Robertson. He previously stood in the Westminster election of 2005 in the Rutherglen and Hamilton West seat, increasing their share of the vote by 6.7% – mainly from Labour voters – and squeezing past the SNP to go into second place. Given the state of the Liberal Democrats in Scotland now I think he’ll be lucky to keep their vote share but nonetheless he has a decent pedigree.

The SNP have also named their candidate as the Baillieston councillor John Mason. He has served on Glasgow City Council since 1998 and is the Glasgow SNP’s longest serving councillor. He also happens to be the most popular councillor in Glasgow – having the highest personal vote of any councillor in Glasgow, and the 4th highest vote in Scotland!

When he was first elected in 1998 he achieved a swing of 17.45% from Labour to the SNP. Can he manage to pull off a 22% swing?

Since Baillieston is a large part of the Glasgow East constituency this should be a shrewd move, capitalising on his local support. John lives in the East End and has done for the last 18 years.

The Scottish Socialist Party have named their candidate as Frances Curran; the joint leader of the party alongside Colin Fox. This clearly shows an intent by the SSP to try and take the socialist vote from the Solidarity Party, the other socialist party headed by Tommy Sheridan.

Both Labour and Solidarity are expected to name their candidates later today. I would guess that George Ryan (Labour) and Tommy Sheridan (Solidarity) would be the favourites.

If Tommy Sheridan does run, his high personal profile will probably take votes from both Labour and the SNP, making any result ridiculously hard to call.

And that will make Gordon Brown very nervous indeed.