John McCain has given up on campaigning in Michigan to concentrate on more hopeful states. Campaign officals confirmed the move is to concentrate on other swing states:- Ohio, Florida and Wisconsin.
Its a clear indication that Michigan will be Democrat blue in the coming election.
Michigan is one of several key swing states in the U.S. election.
In fact, Obama is currently ahead in most of these key swing states. This makes it a tough ask for John McCain to make a comeback and win the presidency.
Over at RealClearPolitics.com they have
Still to play for 115
And of those ‘toss up’ states the latest polling is:-
According to RealClearPolitics Wisconsin is already Obama’s to lose.
These results suggests that McCain should concentrate on the bigger college votes of Ohio, Florida, Virginia and North Carolina; where Obama’s poll lead is tightest.
Lets go with these RealClearPolitics predictions to see what might happen:-
If these bigger key swing states moved to McCain, along with Missouri and Indiana where McCain is marginally in front it would give McCain 260 electoral college votes.
Tied with Obama’s 260 [predicted by RealClearPolitics].
Given that Obama should pick up Colorado’s 9 votes, that could leave the fate of the election in the hands of Nevada (5 votes) and New Hampshire (4 votes).
Should they both go McCain’s way; it’ll be a tie! Something that pundits have already been postulating; here and here. An Obama – Palin presidential ticket?
That is a lot of ifs for McCain, and its doubtful if he’ll manage to take all of the bigger key swing states to make it interesting. We’ll see if McCain’s Michigan gamble pays off.
Right now the election is Obama’s to lose.